Trade Notification (49) A1: If [ %PairID(1) !Set ] A2: Array Set [ Variable Array:%PairID Values:0 Splitter:, ] A3: End If A4: HTTP Request [ Method:GET URL: 'link' Headers: Query Parameters: Body: File To Send: File/Directory To Save With Output: Timeout (Seconds):30 Trust Any Certificate:Off Automatically Follow Redirects:Off ] A5: Array Set [ Variable Array:%pairs Values:%http_data Splitter:" ] A6: Wait [ MS:291 Seconds:0 Minutes:0 Hours:0 Days:0 ] A7: If [ %pairs(12) ~ Buy ] A8: Variable Set [ Name:%signal To:Sell Recurse Variables:Off Do Maths:Off Append:Off Max Rounding Digits:3 ] A9: Else A10: Variable Set [ Name:%signal To:Buy Recurse Variables:Off Do Maths:Off Append:Off Max Rounding Digits:3 ] A11: End If A12: Variable Set [ Name:%Pair To:%pairs(16) Recurse Variables:Off Do Maths:Off Append:Off Max Rounding Digits:3 ] A13: AutoNotification Query [ Configuration:Title: ECC-11 Trade Idea Text: Pair: %Pair Signal: %signal Called At: %pairs(20) Use Regex: true Timeout (Seconds):20 ] A14: Wait [ MS:0 Seconds:1 Minutes:0 Hours:0 Days:0 ] A15: Variable Set [ Name:%tempid To:1 Recurse Variables:Off Do Maths:Off Append:Off Max Rounding Digits:1 ] If [ %anid() ~ !+ ] A16: Variable Set [ Name:%tempid To:round(%anid(#) + 1) Recurse Variables:Off Do Maths:On Append:Off Max Rounding Digits:1 ] If [ %anid() !~ !+ ] A17: Variable Set [ Name:%Pid To:%Pair%tempid Recurse Variables:Off Do Maths:Off Append:Off Max Rounding Digits:3 ] A18: Array Push [ Variable Array:%PairID Position:2 Value:%Pid Fill Spaces:Off ] If [ %Pid Set ] A19: Variable Set [ Name:%amount To:%anid(#) Recurse Variables:Off Do Maths:Off Append:Off Max Rounding Digits:3 ] A20: Variable Set [ Name:%amount To:2 Recurse Variables:Off Do Maths:Off Append:Off Max Rounding Digits:3 ] If [ %amount = 1 | %amount ~ !+ ] A21: For [ Variable:%infonummer Items:1:%amount ] A22: For [ Variable:%nummer Items:2:%amount ] A23: If [ %PairID(%nummer) ~ %anextrainfo(%infonummer)* ] A24: Variable Section [ Name:%PairID(%nummer) From:7 Length:3 Adapt To Fit:On Store Result In:%notifid ] A25: Flash [ Text:%anid() contains %tempid? Long:Off ] A26: If [ %anid() ~R *%tempid* ] A27: Flash [ Text:%anextrainfo(%infonummer) pair bestaat! Long:Off ] A28: Variable Set [ Name:%exists To:True Recurse Variables:Off Do Maths:Off Append:Off Max Rounding Digits:3 ] A29: End If A30: End If A31: End For A32: End For A33: AutoNotification [ Configuration:Title: ECC-11 Trade Idea Text: Pair: %Pair Signal: %signal Called At: %pairs(20) Current Price: %%Pair Action on Touch: Open=:=Check Action on Dismiss: None Status Bar Text Size: 16 Id: %tempid Extra Info: %Pair Priority: 2 Visibility: Public Content Info: %Pair SubText: Swipe to dismiss Vibration: 0,66,167,47,175,48 Category Id: Default Notifications Category Name: Trading Category Importance: Max Separator: , Button 1: Open=:=MT4 Label 1: Open MT4 Icon 1: ic_launcher Unlock Screen: true Button 2: Open=:=TV Label 2: Open TradingView Unlock Screen: true Icon 3: ic_launcher Unlock Screen: true Only on Phone: true Timeout (Seconds):0 ] If [ %exists neq True ] A34: If [ %exists eq True ] A35: Perform Task [ Name:Notif Price Update Priority:%priority Parameter 1 (%par1): Parameter 2 (%par2): Return Value Variable: Stop:Off ] A36: Variable Clear [ Name:%Pid Pattern Matching:Off Local Variables Only:Off Clear All Variables:Off ] A37: End IfIs there a different/better way to do this? Am I just missing something here? Thanks for your help!
Part 1submitted by whatthefx to Forex [link] [comments]
If someone said to me, "Hey, I've got $10 million and want 15% a year . I don't want to be in the market more than 3 hours a week". I'd say, "I got this. Give me close of New York session on Friday to 2 hours before the market close. Easy gig."
You may be asking yourself, why the end of the market on a Friday? Is this not the worst time to be trading? I'll let you into a secret ... I am phenomenal at procrastinating. That's why!
It's is actually part of a larger theory. I think there are tendencies towards weeks that have had certain price action to complete certain patterns. The closer to the end of the week we get, the more checkpoints in these patterns price will have had to hit. If any of the important checkpoints fail, no trade. If they all match up, highly confluence confirmed trade - high expectancy of profitability or flat results.
I've explained some of the tendencies in post where someone was asking if we think day of the week is important.
In the correct market conditions weeks tend to close with small wicks on the close side. This tells us they close strong, and therefore the is undeniable logic in the idea that if price is not at the high/low on Friday morning, you could really close your eyes and make a profitable trade just betting the week closes strong and make money any week it does.
Of course not all weeks do close strong, but once we add the prerequisites of a trading day explained in part 1, it is far more likely we will have a week that ends strongly. We then further improve our chance of this being confirmed or filtered out as invalid by using short tern intra-day strategies that are used for trend following. What this gives us is a marry up of a macro plan and a micro plan, using meta strategies to execute into the business end of things. We have the luxury of information. With good preparation we can use that information to stack our statistical probabilities favourably.
Another concept worth being aware of is time of day (TOD). The markets will often have cycles in which they move. In the same way some weeks action can be seen to follow an almost template like sort of price action, so can the hours throughout the day.
When the market is to make a trending move, we often see this broken up into these sort of timezones.
1 - Low/high of the day is made in or around the hour of the London open.
2 - The reversal move from that will usually taper out in the hours around New York.
3 - Chicago open time will usually give a correction of the days move.
4 - In the last 4 to 5 hours of the week price will usually make new high/low in line of weeks prevailing direction.
5 - Usually some sort of spike happens 1 - 2 hours before the market closes. This is an exit signal if targets have not hit.
These can be a couple hours or so out, but if they are drastically out I am less inclined to trade. It's not meeting my checklists.
An interesting quirk of the Forex markets i as I mentioned above London is often the high/low of the day in a trend. Why is this? I do not know. I'd speculate it's something to do with London being the largest session and for them to put on their positions in the morning they do a stop run (creating the H/L) and then reverse the market. The same theory could be applied to why New York corrects the London move, to spike out stops and get better liquidity on their entry.
In the right conditions, it happens quite a lot. This is what makes trade 2 in this sequence such a good trade. As well as it having multiple reasons to back it up and having it's own trend meta strategy to engage with, it's also working inside the framework of London often being the low on any given trending day, and Friday tending to end strong. What is the space in-between these called? Free money! Okay, that's a bit much. I'd say it qualifies as a "Place of interest", though.
This all looks great on paper, but can it practically be applied in the market? Yes. This is what I want to show you.
In part 1, I showed the GBPUSD chart I was looking at for my possible Friday trade.
Here is today's action. I've started by drawing a fib from the low of the big move up to the high. People will wonder why it's not from the very low ... and I am one of they people. I've done this a lot, and when you see this big impulsive leg like this (psst, people will usually alert you to when these happen in forum chatter, usually in the guise of unexpected news events) this is where to draw the fib from.
GBPUSD 5 MIN
I drop in pending orders, I risk 0.2 in two pending orders. I am willing to take more risk and add more positions if I see what I am looking for, but I want low risk on first touch pending orders I may not be here to see. In this case I wasn't. One of my orders filled, one missed. Had I been at my desk, I'd have executed other trades here based on the price action at the 61.8% (shown in part 1).
The green line shows my trade.
I exit by trailing stop close to the high of the swing. As explained in P1, I am looking for a failed high here (or tiny breakout) to exit and await a re-load. I now draw my fibs from the low to the high of this swing (if the high changes, I have to adjust my fibs. I set alerts to tell me if this happens, and I set alerts on my entry area to look for PA entries). Again I set pending orders with low risk, and intend to scale up if I like what I see.
It's possible I've missed this. There was a spike down from the approx area I'd expect that came up ever so short of the 61.8. With it only having one low this is not something I could have taken advantage of. I used to think of these as missed opportunities, but realistically the amount I can control my risk going for these trades makes it an overall negative edge (loses over 100's trades). A trader with a cooler mind tends to drive a cooler car. I do not chase these.
If I get my fill on these in the next hour or two, I will be looking for an impulse leg up into new highs, and if I see that I will also expect there to be some little climax (spike) to the move. My trading actions for this are explained in part 1.
Current Gain = 0.2%
Max risk exposure possible - 0.4%
Max real equity drawdown - < 0.1%
Previous Week's Post:―
5. Momentum & Volatility
6. A Trading Plan, Part 1
Next Week's Post:
7. A Trading Plan, Part 2
- Evaluate yourself, honestly. What kind of attributes will you need reflected in your trading plan? Indecisiveness is not working in your favour when your money is on the line.
- While you're trading, your plan should be set solidly - making changes on the fly is a losing proposition. The plan should be re-evaluated when you're out of the market, but not while you're in it! Stick to the plan.
- No emotions. Stick to the plan.
- Paper trade and backtest your plan before putting your money on the line!
- Diversify your portfolio. If you're putting a lot of money on the line, have it spread out over multiple securities in multiple sectors to pad yourself against damaging market movements.
"Diversification reduces risk. The proof of the concept in financial math won its proponents the Nobel prize, but the old adage has been around for centuries: “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket.” In technical trading, diversification applies in two places:
- Your choice of indicators: You improve the probability of a buy/sell signal being correct when you use a second, noncorrelated indicator to confirm it. You don’t get confirmation of a buy/sell signal when you consult a second indicator that works on the same principle as the first indicator. Momentum...doesn’t confirm relative strength because it adds no new information. Widen your horizon beyond a few indicators, and seek different concept indicators instead of torturing old indicators to come up with better parameters.
- Your choice of securities: You reduce risk when you trade two securities whose prices move independently from one another. If you trade a technology stock, you achieve no diversification at all by adding another technology stock. Instead, you may get a better balance of risk by adding a stock from a different sector. If you trade metals futures, add something from agriculture or finance to get diversification. You can estimate degree of correlation scientifically with a spreadsheet or informally by eye (charting both securities in the same space)."
This will ensure you are seeing the correct price data and you will then be able to analyze the exact same price action signals that myself and all of my members see. I am going to get into much more detail on this. Most forex brokers simple do not offer the most relevant or effective charts for you to make your trading decisions from. For many beginning traders, the fact that they might be ... Above is my chart. It’s a clean, simple to process, price action trading environment. I am trading bearish rejection on the USDCAD and looking for a mean reversion to play out. That’s why I love Forex price action based systems: No fancy tools needed, just work directly from the charts; You simply “trade what you see, not what you think” You can receive these signals in your Telegram or another text application. This is a good way for people who don’t have time or advanced technical Forex knowledge. But still they want to earn money with forex. There are many forex signal services so it is very hard for people to find the good and trusted ones. Because also in this space ... Price Action Trading is the most important factor in the forex trading as it is consider the root of the Forex in the real banking.. It has a vast amount of ability to change the price action in the broker whenever a user wants to invest in the Forex Trading or trade with the brokers of the price action trading strategies. aThe Problem With Price Action Noise. In forex trading, a term that is used quite often in technical analysis is market or price action ‘noise.’ Quite often, we find that price action in Any Given currency pair spends an awful lot of time sideways or consolidation motion. Or where price action seems to be rising and falling in small increments, but where these moves tend to form the basis ... It is was amazing how I could learn and understand much within a short space of time.... by Ondrej Holous. 2020-01-18. My best portal ever My best portal ever. I was try many portal, but ForexSignals is the best portal. And... by Jorge Songano. 2020-01-17. BEST FOREX TRADING EVER The mentors of forexsignals are so very help full, I highly recommend this to whom go... by Romualdas Zakelis. 2020 ... When I began trading with price action in 2010, I started with the pin bar and inside bar candlestick patterns. I figured I would learn the two signals inside and out before considering other more advanced patterns. It was a good move. I always advocate sticking with one or two price patterns in the beginning before expanding your options. The ...
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